Resources

How High is the Terminal Rate Projection?
Executive Summary Last week’s Update discussed what could fuel a Santa Claus rally. While the CPI data provided some fuel, Jerome Powell [...]
What Could Cause a Santa Claus Rally?
Executive Summary Talk by financial media for the always hoped-for Santa Claus rally is rampant. On December 13 the CPI for November [...]
Will the Dollar Remain Strong?
Executive Summary After the pandemic, inflation hit in 2022 because of the massive government stimulus programs. The Fed began fighting inflation by [...]
Is the Yield Curve Calling for a Recession?
Executive Summary Normally, long-term interest rates are higher than short-term rates, and the yield curve is an upward sloping line. When short-term [...]
How is Inflation Impacting Consumers?
Executive Summary Many people in the U.S. have much to be thankful for; albeit inflation is not one of them. Since energy [...]
When Do Large One-Day Gains Occur?
Executive Summary Last week when the Consumer Price Index was released, the stock market reacted with a large one-day rally – capping [...]

