Blog
Blog
Is There Further to Go?
Executive Summary The Fed raised the Federal Funds Rate again last week by 0.75% in the fight against inflation. In the second [...]
Is the End Game Getting Nearer?
Executive Summary U.S. Federal debt outstanding totals about $31 trillion. From 2018-2021 (4 years) the debt grew as much as it did [...]
What is the Impact of Inflation?
Executive Summary One Federal Reserve goal is maintaining an average of 2% inflation, which from around 2012 until the pandemic was a [...]
Are Projected Corporate Earnings Overstated?
Executive Summary One indicator for determining stock market valuation is the Price-to-Earnings ratio (P/E). In this missive, I explain how the math [...]
Is Fed Tightening Just Getting Started?
Executive Summary Between the 2008 Financial Crisis and the start of the pandemic, the Federal Reserve Bank increased its balance sheet from [...]
Is the Bear Market Rally Over?
Executive Summary After falling about 23% for the year as of June 16th, the S&P 500 began a strong bear market rally [...]
Is the Housing Market Foreshadowing an Economic Recession?
Executive Summary Mortgage rates have nearly doubled from 2.65% to 5.22%, resulting in a slowing housing market. Add in a drop in [...]
Does It Really Reduce Inflation?
Executive Summary On Saturday, August 6, the Senate passed what is ironically titled the Inflation Reduction Act, which outlines $485 billion in [...]
Will the Fed Pivot, or Is This a Bear Market Rally?
Executive Summary Over the past month and a half, the stock market has experienced its fourth “bear market rally” since the start [...]