Blog
Is Nvidia the Next Cisco?
Executive Summary Today’s missive compares the historical price movements in Cisco Systems to the price movements in Nvidia today. While there are [...]
How Broad is the Stock Market?
Executive Summary As shown in the first graph of the missive this week, only 17% of companies in the S&P 500 have [...]
How Absurd Has the Stock Market Become?
Executive Summary In this week’s missive, I will focus on one financial metric to demonstrate the absurdity of today’s stock market prices. [...]
Is Hussman Calling the Top?
Executive Summary Every stock market cycle in history has had both a bull (upside) and bear (downside) to it. The challenge is [...]
Is the Jobs Market Strong?
Executive Summary A look at the “strong” employment data reveals some discrepancies casting doubts on the employment picture. For instance, the Establishment [...]
Is the U.S. in Recession?
Executive Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) makes the official declaration of recessions, which can occur up to a year [...]
Is “Excess Savings” Gone?
Executive Summary “Excess savings” is defined as savings above the pre-pandemic trend level. The Federal Government and Federal Reserve through stimulus programs [...]
How Much Risk is Embedded in the Stock Market?
Executive Summary Over 50% of the stock options sold each day for the S&P 500 expire the same day. Translation, speculators are [...]
Have Consumers Hit Their Limit?
Executive Summary High interest rates and inflation have given the consumer pause. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index plunged 13% last [...]