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Does Something Not Smell Right with the Jobs Report?
Executive Summary On Friday the BLS stated 177,000 new jobs were created in April, beating expectations. Digging into the data, the first [...]
Will Home Prices Fall Further?
Executive Summary Understanding residential real estate values vary by location, nationally home prices have begun to decrease. On a real, inflation-adjusted basis, [...]
Should the U.S. Return to Sound Money?
Executive Summary In 1971 President Nixon took the U.S. off of the gold standard. Since then, the U.S., like most countries, has [...]
Are Consumers Waving a Red Flag?
Executive Summary Consumers drive our economy, and the Consumer Sentiment Index is a measure of how consumers are feeling. The April 2025 [...]
Can the Stock Market Be “Oversold” and “Overvalued”?
Executive Summary With last week’s drastic market decline, many have heard financial pundits proclaim the stock market is “oversold.” Briefly, oversold is [...]
Is a Recession Next?
Executive Summary Estimates of growth for the first quarter of 2025 range from 0.3% to -2.8%. Consumer spending drives about 70% of [...]
Does the Equity Bubble Remain Intact?
Executive Summary The S&P 500 recently entered “correction” territory after falling 10% by March 13 of this year. Both the rise and [...]
Are Consumers Spending Less?
Executive Summary The Empire State Manufacturing Survey shows a 25.5 point drop in General Business Conditions (first graph), much lower than expected [...]
How Has the Government Hidden a Potential Mortgage Crisis?
Executive Summary The Wall Street Journal article entitled “Biden’s Mortgage ‘Relief’ Fuels Higher Housing Prices” sheds some light on how housing prices [...]