Blog
What are Speculators Ignoring?
Executive Summary The bear market rally since October 2023 appears to have been based on exorbitant speculation on hopes of six or [...]
What are Full-Time Jobs Telling Us?
Executive Summary Last week the monthly jobs report showed 303,000 new jobs created, exceeding expectations. However, the details reveal substantial increases in [...]
What Causes Stock Market Bubbles?
Executive Summary Some of the reasons used to justify the recent stock market bull market and bubble include: “Don’t fight the Fed,” [...]
Are We in a Casino – Dr. Hussman’s Outlook?
Executive Summary This week’s Update shares Warren Buffett’s comment regarding the current stock market exhibiting casino-like behavior. However, most of this week’s [...]
Is the Market Overvaluation Widespread?
Executive Summary Last week’s issue compared the exuberance in AI stocks (specifically Nvidia) to the Technology Bubble (1990’s-2000) stocks such as Cisco [...]
Will This Time Rhyme?
Executive Summary In this issue comparisons will be shown between the Technology, or Dot-Com, Bubble and the current Everything Bubble – extended [...]
Is the Unemployment Rate Giving the All-Clear?
Executive Summary In January 2024 the Unemployment Rate was 3.7%, leading many to believe the economy is strong due to the labor [...]
Excerpts from Dr. John Hussman’s Interim Comment
Executive Summary In this week’s newsletter, I review the salient points relating to market conditions in Dr. John Hussman’s Interim Comment: February [...]
Has the Stock Market Reached Extreme Exuberance (Again)?
Executive Summary Markets are again extremely overvalued in relation to long-term norms. In this issue, I provide several methodologies to explain the [...]