Resources
Can the Stock Market Really Ever Revert to the Mean?
Executive Summary The first graph below is Warren Buffet’s favorite market valuation ratio. Note from current valuations, the S&P 500 would need [...]
Inflation or Stock Prices, Has the Fed Chosen?
Executive Summary The Fed’s monetary policy for the last ten years has been characterized as “too loose for too long,” resulting in [...]
Are There Competing Forces Impacting Treasury Yields?
Executive Summary The Federal Reserve Bank’s policies including increasing the monetary base and funding the Federal Government’s stimulus programs led to a [...]
Will the “Solutions” be the Same Next Time?
Executive Summary In March of this year the Fed began increasing short-term interest rates. Typically, they do not start rate tightening when consumer [...]
Is it Time to Pay the Piper?
Executive Summary In a healthy economy, long-term interest rates are higher than short-term rates (see first graph). However, when short-term rates are [...]
Featuring John Mauldin: Brace for (Recession) Impact
Executive Summary This week I wanted to share a guest article from John Mauldin. This article is reflecting on the trends that [...]