Blog
Has the Stock Market Reached Extreme Exuberance (Again)?
Executive Summary Markets are again extremely overvalued in relation to long-term norms. In this issue, I provide several methodologies to explain the [...]
Are the Inconsistencies in Data Ongoing?
Executive Summary This week’s edition continues from last week in looking at Federal Government data released. Real GDI (Gross Domestic Income) and [...]
Are There Reasons to Question Government Economic Numbers?
Executive Summary Many respected economic analysts have been questioning the numbers being reported by the Federal Government. For example, the “new jobs” [...]
What is the State of the Stock Market & Economy?
Executive Summary The S&P500 has been pushed back to speculative highs. The 0dte options activity, discussed in previous newsletters, by large investment [...]
How Dangerous Are “Buy Now, Pay Later” Programs?
Executive Summary Consumer loans, credit cards and other revolving debt now exceed $1 trillion, far above the pre-Financial Crisis and pre-COVID balances [...]
Are Regional Banks Getting Hit with a Double Whammy?
Executive Summary 2024 will present significant obstacles for regional banks. Simply stated, regional banks use depositors’ funds to make loans or invest [...]
Why Has the Stock Market Risen This Year?
Executive Summary The stock market move this year has primarily been a result of the Magnificent 7 stocks, as well as the [...]
Would A Fed Rate Cut Fuel Further Speculation in the Stock Market?
Executive Summary Speculators in the stock market are betting on the Federal Reserve Bank lowering the Federal Funds Rate. Although, Jerome Powell [...]
Is a Soft Landing Likely?
Executive Summary With last quarter’s credit and government-spending inspired 5.2% annualized GDP print, combined with the Atlanta Fed’s November 22 GDPNow estimate [...]