Blog
Has the Stock Market Bottomed?
Executive Summary The S&P 500 Index hit technical bear market territory Monday, June 13, falling below 20% year-to-date. Such large drops have [...]
What Does Inflation Affect?
Executive Summary In addition to the massive rise in gas prices, almost all goods and services (see first graph) have seen significant [...]
What Are Some Global Red Flags?
Executive Summary Economic red flags are waving across the globe, meaning the challenges are not limited to the United States. The European [...]
Are the Storm Clouds Darkening?
Executive Summary The Dow just finished its eighth consecutive down week, which has not happened since 1923. The Fed is sticking with [...]
Is Housing About to Hit the Perfect Storm?
Executive Summary Most people have noticed home prices have exploded due to extremely low mortgage rates post COVID along with low inventory [...]
Is it Time to Take Precautions?
Executive Summary Economist John Hussman recently stated speculative bubbles teach investors “dangerously incorrect lessons” that “stocks always recover.” Stock market indices have [...]
Is a Recession on the Horizon?
Executive Summary By now many have heard first quarter real GDP turned negative by 1.4%. In the second graph one can see [...]
Can the Stock Market Really Ever Revert to the Mean?
Executive Summary The first graph below is Warren Buffet’s favorite market valuation ratio. Note from current valuations, the S&P 500 would need [...]
Inflation or Stock Prices, Has the Fed Chosen?
Executive Summary The Fed’s monetary policy for the last ten years has been characterized as “too loose for too long,” resulting in [...]