Blog
Is it Time to Return to GAAP?
Executive Summary Generally Accepted Accounting Principles (GAAP), the standards for financial reporting, used to be used in financial analysis. However, now the [...]
Are Millennials Buying Homes?
Executive Summary For almost forty years mortgage interest rates were trending down (see first graph), until 2022 when the Federal Reserve Bank [...]
What Are 0dte Options?
Executive Summary While it is normal to have rallies during bear markets, volatility caused by options trading currently appears to be having [...]
What Are the Results of 14 Years of Extreme Fed Actions?
Executive Summary In this week’s Update, I share thoughts from Dennis M. Kelleher, Cofounder, President and CEO of Better Markets, “An independent, [...]
Are Policymakers Wearing Blindfolds?
Executive Summary The first graph below illustrates the massive increase in the national debt, which now totals over $31.5 trillion. With interest [...]
Is the U.S. in a Recession?
Executive Summary The National Bureau of Economic Research, the arbiter for dating recessions, has not yet declared one – although many economists [...]
Has the Fed Distorted Secular Market Cycles?
Executive Summary Stock markets move in long-term (secular) and shorter-term (cyclical cycles). Historically, the Shiller Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio could be used to [...]
What Does 2023 Hold?
Executive Summary As 2023 gets underway, the bear market pattern of 2022 continues. After a few down days, another bear market rally [...]
Which Payroll Numbers are Correct?
Executive Summary The December Job’s Report released last Friday provided optimism that inflation is slowing enough to push the FED to “pivot.” [...]