Executive Summary Inflation, or general price increases, are reported through the Consumer Price Index which is currently up 8.6% - a 40-year high (second graph). The Federal Reserve Bank contributed to inflation with loose monetary policy along with U.S. government stimulus programs.  In order to fight high [...]

Executive Summary Over the last ten years or more of loose Fed monetary policy, investors began to believe stocks would only go up in price. Extremely low-interest rates could not compete with the two percent  S&P 500 dividend yield. Investors took on more risk than what was [...]

Executive Summary The S&P 500 Index hit technical bear market territory Monday, June 13, falling below 20%  year-to-date. Such large drops have many investors and pundits already attempting to pick the  bottom and recommending buying-the-dip. However, this time the Fed is in a tightening policy  which eliminates [...]

Executive Summary In addition to the massive rise in gas prices, almost all goods and services (see first graph) have  seen significant price increases, resulting in consumers changing spending habits. The reduction  in consumer demand will have a negative effect on corporate profitability (see 4th graph).  COVID [...]

Executive Summary Economic red flags are waving across the globe, meaning the challenges are not limited to the United States. The European Union’s 27 member states just recoded 8.1% year over year inflation. The E.U.’s partial ban on Russian oil because of the Russian war with Ukraine [...]