What is Going on in the Housing Market?

2021-05-04T17:22:09+00:00April 27th, 2021|Categories: INVESTMENT|

Executive Summary Anyone who has been paying attention to the residential real estate market lately is probably shaking their head.  It is definitely a seller’s market.  The driving factor in housing, like most markets, is supply and demand.  The lack of supply, combined with other factors discussed [...]

What Happens During Manias?

2021-05-04T17:22:27+00:00April 20th, 2021|Categories: INVESTMENT|

Executive Summary Since 1990, the monetary base has grown from around $300 billion to close to $5.5 trillion. (See first graph) The massive amount of liquidity provided through the Federal Reserve Bank’s (Fed) monetary policy has helped fuel enormous bubbles in all types of assets. One of [...]

Is the Wedge Still Growing?

2021-05-04T17:22:43+00:00April 13th, 2021|Categories: INVESTMENT|

Executive Summary The first graph below illustrates the growth in corporate profits versus the S&P 500 Index.  The point of sharing this is not to predict a stock crash, but rather to display the embedded risk in the market.  Historically market cycles have consisted of both an [...]