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What Will the Fed Do From Here?
Executive Summary The one piece of the economic puzzle which had appeared to defy gravity was employment; however, the picture changed with [...]
Was the Payroll Revision the Last Straw?
Executive Summary The one piece of the economic puzzle which had appeared to defy gravity was employment; however, the picture changed with [...]
Should the BLS Release Distorted Data?
Executive Summary There have been discussions lately about the reliability of the monthly “new jobs” report released by the Bureau of Labor [...]
What is Weighing on Economic Growth?
Executive Summary The U.S. Federal debt is now over $37 trillion. In the first graph below, one can see Real (inflation adjusted) [...]
What Will the Fed Do?
Executive Summary Last Friday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell spoke at the now infamous Jackson Hole meeting. In The Details below are excerpts [...]
Would the Financial Data Make You Say, “Hmmm”?
Executive Summary This week includes a number of data points for our readers to ponder. First the concentration risk in the S&P [...]
How Fast Can Speculators Reach the Exit?
Executive Summary Once again stock prices are pushing record levels. In recent years, investors have seen how the Magnificent 7 have driven [...]
Is the Data Reliable?
Executive Summary In this week’s missive, I follow up on the GDP report released after last week’s issue and then cover the [...]
Is the U.S. in Recession?
Executive Summary On Wednesday, July 30, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) will release the advance estimate of second-quarter GDP growth. After [...]