Executive Summary This newsletter highlights sections of Dr. Burry’s (famed investor of the movie The Big Short) paper titled: “Foundations: U.S. Market Structure & Value.” In it he posits “…there was no natural conclusion to the bear market of 2007-2009” due to the extreme policy interventions. Currently [...]
Executive Summary While last week the Fed decided not to change the Fed Funds Rate (the only one they control), long-term rates have been rising (see first graph below). Fears of inflation, the war, and a weakening economy have homebuyers getting cold feet - one in seven [...]
Executive Summary The shock to the oil market created by the war with Iran is increasing fear in the markets. However, some areas were already showing weakness, such as the 2025 labor market. New jobs created averaged only about 15,000 per month and continue that path so [...]
Executive Summary Prior to the war with Iran, oil prices hovered around $60 per barrel. Upon attacks on Iran’s oil facilities and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, oil spiked to $120 per barrel Sunday night. After discussions of intervention on Monday from G7 countries and [...]
Executive Summary In this conclusion of the series on Currency Debasement (Part 5), I will cover what it would take to have a currency collapse and high inflation. Collapse of the U.S. dollar could occur through widespread loss of confidence in both the Federal Government’s and the [...]