Executive Summary In 1935 Franklin D. Roosevelt signed the Social Security Act into law. One could claim full retirement benefits at age 65. At that time life expectancy for a 65-year-old was 12 more years. In 1945 there were 42 workers contributing for each person drawing benefits. [...]

Executive Summary The Fed is boxed in on how to deal with inflation, with the weakening jobs market combined with the possible inflationary impacts of tariffs, proposed stimulus, and lower interest rates. In the first graph below, one can see from 1967-1983 inflation came in three waves [...]

Executive Summary Much of this issue is from a recent Reuters article by Edward Chancellor entitled "Stock market frenzy is a loud echo of the 1990s.” “Fred Hickey, editor of The High-Tech Strategist publication since 1987, used his knowledge of the high-tech industry to highlight wild market [...]

Executive Summary During stock market bubbles, investors become convinced markets can only rise. Justifications for high valuations such as it is a “New Era” (1920’s), a “New Economy” (1990’s) or some other new paradigm such as the age of AI (artificial intelligence) has arrived. However, economist John [...]